Dynamic modelling of a standardised dairy farm in the plain area

The development of an average farm of the ‘dairying/arable crops’ type (20 cows) in the plain area is simulated by means of a dynamic simulation model. As a result of milk price reductions, the farm will suffer continuous equity-capital losses if it maintains its current production. The present study investigates the alternative of specialisation in milk production, with the simultaneous construction of a new housing system for 45 cows, which scarcely leads to an improvement in the situation. Only major production-engineering optimisations such as a sharp increase in milk yield with constant pasturing or a conversion to full pasture would render the investment sustainable and allow for positive income development.